Univariate and Multivariate Control Charts
Source: NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods
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Comparison of univariate and multivariate control data
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Control charts are used to routinely monitor quality. Depending
on the number of process characteristics to be monitored, there are
two basic types of control charts. The first, referred to as a
univariate control chart, is a graphical display (chart) of
one quality characteristic. The second, referred to as
a multivariate control chart, is a graphical display of a statistic
that summarizes or represents more than one quality
characteristic.
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Characteristics of control charts
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If a single quality characteristic has been measured or computed
from a sample, the control chart shows the value of the quality
characteristic versus the sample number or versus time. In general,
the chart contains a center line that represents the mean value for
the in-control process. Two other horizontal lines, called the
upper control limit (UCL) and the lower control limit (LCL), are
also shown on the chart. These control limits are chosen so that
almost all of the data points will fall within these limits as long
as the process remains in-control. The figure below illustrates
this.
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Chart demonstrating basis of control chart
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Why control charts "work"
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The control limits as pictured in the graph might be .001
probability limits. If so, and if chance causes alone were
present, the probability of a point falling above the upper limit
would be one out of a thousand, and similarly, a point falling
below the lower limit would be one out of a thousand. We would be
searching for an assignable cause if a point would fall outside
these limits. Where we put these limits will determine the
risk of undertaking such a search when in reality there is no
assignable cause for variation.
Since two out of a thousand is a very small risk, the 0.001 limits
may be said to give practical assurances that, if a point falls
outside these limits, the variation was caused be an assignable
cause. It must be noted that two out of one thousand is a purely
arbitrary number. There is no reason why it could have been set to
one out a hundred or even larger. The decision would depend on the
amount of risk the management of the quality control program is
willing to take. In general (in the world of quality control) it
is customary to use limits that approximate the 0.002 standard.
Letting X denote the value of a process characteristic, if
the system of chance causes generates a variation in X that
follows the normal distribution, the 0.001 probability limits will
be very close to the 3-sigma
limits. From normal tables we glean that the
3-sigma in one direction is 0.00135, or in both directions 0.0027. For
normal distributions, therefore, the
3-sigma
limits are the practical equivalent of 0.001 probability limits.
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Plus or minus "3 sigma" limits are typical
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In the U.S., whether X is normally distributed or not,
it is an acceptable practice to base the control limits upon a
multiple of the standard deviation. Usually this multiple is 3 and
thus the limits are called 3-sigma limits. This term is used
whether the standard deviation is the universe or population
parameter, or some estimate thereof, or simply a "standard value"
for control chart purposes. It should be inferred from
the context what standard deviation is involved. (Note that in
the U.K., statisticians generally prefer to adhere to probability
limits.)
If the underlying distribution is skewed, say in the positive
direction, the 3-sigma limit will fall short of the upper 0.001
limit, while the lower 3-sigma limit will fall below the 0.001
limit. This situation means that the risk of looking for assignable
causes of positive variation when none exists will be greater than
one out of a thousand. But the risk of searching for an assignable
cause of negative variation, when none exists, will be reduced.
The net result, however, will be an increase in the risk of a
chance variation beyond the control limits. How much this risk
will be increased will depend on the degree of skewness.
If variation in quality follows a Poisson distribution, for example,
for which np = .8, the risk of exceeding the upper limit by
chance would be raised by the use of 3-sigma limits from 0.001 to
0.009 and the lower limit reduces from 0.001 to 0. For a Poisson
distribution the mean and variance both equal np. Hence the
upper 3-sigma limit is 0.8 + 3 sqrt(.8) = 3.48 and the lower
limit = 0 (here sqrt denotes "square root"). For
np = .8 the probability of getting more than 3
successes = 0.009.
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Strategies for dealing with out-of-control findings
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If a data point falls outside the control limits, we assume
that the process is probably out of control and that an
investigation is warranted to find and eliminate the cause or
causes.
Does this mean that when all points fall within the limits, the
process is in control? Not necessarily. If the plot looks
non-random, that is, if the points exhibit some form of systematic
behavior, there is still something wrong. For example, if the
first 25 of 30 points fall above the center line and the last 5 fall
below the center line, we would wish to know why this is so.
Statistical methods to detect sequences or nonrandom
patterns can be applied to the interpretation of control charts.
To be sure, "in control" implies that all points are between the
control limits and they form a random pattern.
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